Elections in Hesse: Who really moves into the Bundestag?

Elections in Hesse: Who really moves into the Bundestag?

The upcoming Bundestag election in Hesse on February 23, 2025 is all about comprehensive voting rights reform that could have far -reaching effects on the future composition of the Bundestag. This choice will be the first to be carried out after the reform decided in March 2023. There are 22 constituencies in Hesse, in which a direct mandate is allocated; These are determined by the first votes. However, it could be that not all election artists move into the Bundestag, which brings great uncertainties in the run-up to the election, such as "https://www.fr.de/hessen/bundesagenkahl-kahltsreform-faehrdet-in-wahlkreisen-in-hessen-zr-93585351.html.de reported.

The abolition of overhang and compensation mandates is a central element of the reform. In the future, only those direct candidates will move into the Bundestag, whose part of the party corresponds to the number of their direct mandates in second votes. This means that candidates with poor results on the state lists could go away empty -handed. In urban areas in which the voices are distributed over several parties, it will be difficult for many candidates to maintain the necessary voices.

affected constituencies

Six constituencies in Hesse are particularly affected by the new regulations. The forecasts indicate that problems could occur in the following constituencies:

• Südhessen: Wiesbaden, Darmstadt, Groß-Gerau
• Nordhessen: Kassel, Werra-Meißner-Hersfeld Rotenburg, Schwalm-Eder

In Wiesbaden, Dr. Stefan Korbach (CDU), however, has a 56% probability not to enter the Bundestag. In Darmstadt, Dr. Astrid Mannes (CDU) with a 55% probability, while in Groß-Gerau Marcus Kretschmann (CDU) with a 25% probability affected by one. In Kassel, Daniel Bettermann (SPD) has a 21% probability of not winning, and Daniel Iliev (SPD) leads to parliament in Werra-Meißner-Hersfeld Rotenburg with 26%. Philipp Rottwilm (SPD) has no safe opportunities in the Schwalm-Eder constituency with 36% probability either.

changes in the right to vote

The voting right reform means that the proportion of second votes will in future decide on the distribution of seats in the Bundestag. The superior distribution of the mandates is based on the nationwide second vote result, while the subdivision is based on the state lists. This puts the importance of the first voice in the background. In the future, fewer MPs could be sent to Berlin, the total volume of the Bundestag will be set to 630 MPs to reduce costs and space problems, such as hessenschau.de explained in detail.

Despite the reform, the five percent hurdle remains for the distribution of seats in the Bundestag. What is new, however, is that the basic mandate clause, which enables parties to move into the Bundestag with a parliamentary group, still applies if they win at least three direct mandates. This could be particularly important for smaller parties, while the tactical voting under the new conditions is expected to make less sense.

Overall, the reformed voting right situation shows that the Bundestag election 2025 could not only be in the constituencies, but also in relation to the nationwide political balance of power. The traffic light government has set clear signals with the reform, which for many voters may influence the decision in the voting, such as das-Parlament.de The effects of these changes could include much more than just the number of mandates; They directly influence the political landscape and the possibilities for the formation of coalitions in the federal government.