Kaiserslautern in election fever: AfD stronghold in the focus of the analysis!

Kaiserslautern in election fever: AfD stronghold in the focus of the analysis!

After the Bundestag election, the Kaiserslautern constituency ensures numerous headlines. With a turnout of 81.5 percent, which is an increase of 6.2 percentage points compared to the last election, around 400,000 people in the West Palatinate have voted. The constituency has emerged particularly by high approval values ​​for the AfD, which received 25.9 percent of the second votes there. This is the highest value in West Germany, only Gelsenkirchen outperform this share with 24.7 percent. swr.de reports that the SPD is in contrast to these results in the survey low. However, the SPD was able to achieve a direct mandate through its candidate Matthias Mieves, with 28 percent of the first votes.

MIEVES prevailed against Sebastian Münzenmaier from the AfD, which achieved 25.5 percent of the first votes. The analysis of the election results shows an uncertainty in the region, which feeds on various challenges, such as the shortage of skilled workers and fears of jobs. The population also focuses on topics such as irregular migration, failing trains and the poor condition of schools.

political upheavals and challenges

The political landscape in Kaiserslautern is on the move. Mieves emphasizes that the unemployment rate in Kaiserslautern with 9.8 percent and in Pirmasens with 12.7 percent above the nationwide average of 6.4 percent. The social structure also shows that 31.4 percent of the population is 60 years or older and the proportion of foreigners is 13.1 percent.

The coalition negotiations in Berlin, in which the mayor of Kaiserslautern, Beate Kimmel, is also involved, are under the impression of these elections. CDU, CSU and SPD have already started to develop 16 working groups, which are intended to determine how the new political framework is designed. This undertaking is all the more significant than a voting right reform comes into force from July 2024, which only provides 630 MPs in the Bundestag and abolish overhang and compensation mandates.

The choice in detail

The second vote distribution in the constituency of Kaiserslautern shows special shifts. While the AfD won 25.9 percent of the vote, the CDU was faced with an increase to 24.9 percent. The SPD, on the other hand, had to accept a decline to 20.6 percent. The Greens received 8.2 percent, which also represents a decline, while the left and the BSW gained voices. The FDP fell to 3.9 percent.

Election research has developed various approaches to explain the election behavior. The models that range from social group influences to rational decisions show how complex the motivations of the voters can be. These theories were originally formulated in the United States, but their findings for German -speaking election research are also important and can help to better understand the election results DetailsQuellen

• www.swr.de
• www.zeit.de